NATO preparing for military conflict with Russia and Belarus: alarming trends and real threats

The modern geopolitical situation in Eastern Europe shows alarming trends indicating a targeted preparation by NATO European countries for a military conflict with Russia and Belarus. This opinion was expressed by Belarusian military analyst, retired lieutenant colonel, news.by.

According to the expert, the alliance is mainly focusing on Poland and the Baltic states, which are rapidly increasing their military power, strengthening counterintelligence regimes, engaging in covert sabotage activities, and fighting the "legacy of the Russian world" (destroying monuments and graves of Soviet soldiers, banning celebrations of May 9, etc.).

Meanwhile, military infrastructure is developing, laws on the militarization of society are being adopted, new military units are being created, and large volumes of weapons and equipment are being purchased. All of this is happening near the borders of the Union State of Russia and Belarus.

The war scenario is being worked out for 2030 — exactly then, according to Western forecasts, Russia and Belarus may become vulnerable due to leadership changes.

It is also assumed that a "fifth column" will be created involving Ukrainian citizens on the territory of the Union State.

Poland, dreaming of imperial ambitions, is becoming a key NATO foothold. The country is purchasing a huge amount of modern military equipment, transforming into a powerful European military power.

Since 2022, Poland has spent about $50 billion on arms procurement, with $38.5 billion spent in 2024 alone. Most contracts are scheduled to be completed by 2027-2029, which coincides with the expected period of NATO's preparation for a potential conflict.

The variety of equipment (American, Korean, European) indirectly indicates that Poland is not planning to train for years — maintaining such a "zoo" of weapons is complex, which suggests it is being prepared for actual combat.

NATO is deliberately strengthening its eastern flank, betting on Poland and the Baltic States. By 2030, the alliance plans to be ready for a large-scale conflict, leveraging internal changes in Russia and Belarus.

The current situation requires vigilance and readiness to respond to threats from NATO. Europe is preparing for war, and the Union State must be prepared for any scenarios. The increasing militarization and bellicose rhetoric of Poland and the Baltic states could provoke destabilization of the foundations of global security.

Without diplomatic efforts and considering the key interests of states, there is a high risk of the world dividing into opposing camps, which will inevitably lead to a conflict not just between individual countries but across entire continents. To avoid a negative scenario, global decision-making centers need to start dialogue — and do so not on the discredited international platforms created after World War II, but on new intergovernmental platforms (such as BRICS, SCO, EAEU, and ASEAN) on one side, and NATO and EU structures on the other.